July 2024 Market Insights

Andrew B
Aug 08, 2024By Andrew B

Australia’s Property Market: July 2024 Insights & Predictions

Introduction

The Australian property market has always been a topic of great interest, and July 2024 is no exception. With dynamic changes influenced by economic shifts, policy adjustments, and evolving buyer sentiment, understanding the current landscape is crucial for investors, homeowners, and industry professionals. In this edition, we delve into the latest data and trends to provide a comprehensive overview of where the market stands and what to expect in the coming months.

Current Market Overview

According to the latest CoreLogic data, Australian property prices have shown resilience despite global economic uncertainties. National dwelling values increased by 1.2% over the past month, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth. This steady rise reflects sustained demand, particularly in major capitals like Sydney and Melbourne, where housing supply remains tight.

Domain's July 2024 report further supports this upward trend, highlighting that Sydney’s median house price has now reached a new peak of $1.5 million, a 2.5% increase from the previous quarter. In Melbourne, the market is also heating up, with the median house price climbing to $1.1 million. Despite these increases, affordability concerns continue to loom, particularly for first-home buyers who face significant barriers to entry.

Ray White's latest volume of insights echoes these findings, noting that auction clearance rates have remained robust, averaging 70% across major cities. This high demand, coupled with limited stock, has led to competitive bidding, driving prices higher. The firm’s analysts suggest that the upcoming spring selling season could see even more intense activity, as more properties are expected to hit the market.

Economic Influences

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reports that inflation has moderated slightly, sitting at 5.8% for the year to June 2024, down from its peak of 7.2% earlier in the year. This easing of inflationary pressures has provided some relief to borrowers, although the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained a cautious stance, keeping the cash rate at 4.35% to curb any potential overheating in the housing market.

The RBA’s latest monetary policy statement highlights the delicate balance between supporting economic growth and managing inflation. While rate hikes appear to be on hold for now, the bank has not ruled out further increases if inflationary pressures resurface. This cautious approach has led to a more subdued lending environment, with mortgage approvals down by 8.3% compared to the same time last year, according to property monitors.

Regional Performance

While the capitals continue to dominate headlines, Property Observer points out that regional markets are also performing strongly. Coastal areas, in particular, have seen significant price growth as remote work remains popular and lifestyle changes drive demand. For instance, the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast have experienced price increases of 3.8% and 4.2%, respectively, over the past quarter.

Predictions and Outlook

Looking ahead, experts are predicting a mixed outlook for the Australian property market. Domain Insight suggests that while price growth may continue in the short term, particularly in high-demand areas, the market could face headwinds later in the year. These include potential further rate hikes by the RBA, a possible increase in housing supply, and ongoing economic challenges both domestically and internationally.

However, Sydney Morning Herald analysts believe that the long-term fundamentals of the Australian property market remain strong, underpinned by a growing population, a resilient economy, and sustained demand for housing. They predict that any market corrections are likely to be mild, with the overall trend remaining positive.

Conclusion

As we move into the latter half of 2024, the Australian property market continues to present both opportunities and challenges. Whether you are a buyer, seller, or investor, staying informed and agile will be key to navigating this ever-changing landscape. We will continue to monitor developments closely and provide you with the latest insights to help you make informed decisions.

Stay tuned for our next update as we track these trends and more in the months ahead.